النمذجة الرياضية للعلاقة بين أعداد طلبة التعليم العالي والعوامل الاجتماعية والاقتصادية في سورية
Abstract
تهدف هذه الدراسة لإيجاد أفضل العوامل الاجتماعية والاقتصادية المؤثرة على أعداد طلبة التعليم العالي باستخدام منهج التحليل الوصفي ، وإيجاد النموذج الرياضي المتعدد الذي يربط بين المركبات الأساسية الممثلة للعوامل الاجتماعية والاقتصادية وأعداد طلبة التعليم العالي في سورية.
وكانت أهم النتائج التي تم التوصل إليها هي أن المركبات الأساس الممثلة للعوامل الاجتماعية والاقتصادية بعد إجراء التدوير المتعامد كانت ممثلة بالمركبين الأول والمتمثل بـ (عدد أفراد قوة العمل الذين يعملون بأجر، عدد السكان لكل طبيب صحة، عدد أفراد قوة العمل الذين يعملون لحسابهم، عدد أفراد قوة العمل غير المتزوجين، عدد السكان لكل طبيب أسنان، موازنة التعليم العالي، عدد الممرضين والممرضات) والرابع المتمثل بـ (بعدد أفراد قوة العمل المتزوجين) اللذين يؤثران بشكل إيجابي على أعداد طلبة التعليم العالي، أما المركبين الثاني والمتمثل بـ (معدل النشاط الاقتصادي للقوة البشرية، متوسط عدد السكان لكل صيدلاني، عدد أفراد قوة العمل الذين يعملون بدون أجر) والثالث والمتمثل بـ (عدد أفراد قوة العمل المطلقين والأرامل) تؤثر بشكل سلبي على أعداد طلبة التعليم العالي.
This study aims to find the best social and economic factors that affect the number of students in higher education using the descriptive analysis approach, and find the mathematical model that connects the principal components representing the social and economic factors and the number of students in higher education in Syria.
The most important results that have reached were the principal components
representing the social and economic factors, after doing the orthogonal rotation and was representing the first component (number of members the labor force that are gainfully) employed, the number of population per health doctor, number of members, the labor force that are self-employed, number of members the labor force that are unmarried, number of population per dentist, higher education budget, and number of nurses. And the four thcomponent (number of members the labor force that are married), both components affected positively on the number of students in higher education, the second component (economic activity rate of the human power, average number of people per pharmacist, number of members the labor force that are gainfully unemployed, the third component (number of members the labor force that are divorced and widowed) affected negatively on the number of students in higher education.
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