(Applied Study on Private Syrian Commercial Banks)The Effect Of Using The Altman Model To Predict Financial Failure On Loan Portfolio Returns.

Authors

  • hiba alhagibrahim tishreen university
  • Rami Mohamed Mohamed Tishreen University

Abstract

The study aims to apply the financial ratios of the Altman model to predict financial failure on the private Syrian commercial banks listed on the Damascus Stock Exchange, in addition to identifying the impact of using the Altman model on the returns of each bank’s loan portfolios separately, and to achieve this, the necessary data were collected from the published annual reports. There are 11 banks from the official website of the Damascus Securities Exchange, where the study included the years from 2011-2019, and the independent variable was represented by the Altman model and was measured using financial ratios (profitability - liquidity - financial independence - operational efficiency) and the variable dependent on the returns of loan portfolios It was measured through: Loan portfolio rate of return = total interest and commissions from loans/total loans. The results of the study showed that there was no significant, statistically significant effect of Altman’s model on the rate of return on the loan portfolio of the following private commercial banks: (Bank Audi - Syria, Bank Al-Sharq, Arab Bank-Syria, Fransabank-Syria, Bank of Syria and Overseas, Byblos Bank-Syria, International Bank for Trade and Finance, Bank of Syria and Gulf). And there is a positive, significant, and statistically significant effect of the Altman model on the rate of return on the loan portfolio of the following private commercial banks: (Qatar National Bank - Syria, Bank of Jordan - Syria, Bemo Saudi Fransi Bank).

Downloads

Published

2022-12-05

How to Cite

1.
الحاج إبراهيم ه, رامي محمد محمد. (Applied Study on Private Syrian Commercial Banks)The Effect Of Using The Altman Model To Predict Financial Failure On Loan Portfolio Returns. Tuj-econ [Internet]. 2022Dec.5 [cited 2024Dec.27];44(5):477-502. Available from: https://journal.tishreen.edu.sy/index.php/econlaw/article/view/12963

Issue

Vol. 44 No. 5 (2022): Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences

Section

Master student researches

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

  • The authors retain the copyright and grant the right to publish in the magazine for the first time with the transfer of the commercial right to Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences

     Under a CC BY- NC-SA 04 license that allows others to share the work with of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal. Authors can use a copy of their articles in their scientific activity, and on their scientific websites, provided that the place of publication is indicted in  Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences   .  The Readers have the right to send, print and subscribe to the initial version of the article, and the title of Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences Publisher

  • journal uses a CC BY-NC-SA license which mean

    You are free to:

    • Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material
    •  
    • The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.

  • Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.

  • NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.

  • ShareAlike — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same license as the original.

  • No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.