Study the Causality between Agricultural Production and GDP in Syria
Abstract
The research aims to investigate the causality between agricultural production and GDP in Syria during the period between 1987 and 2020, to identify the direction of the causality between them. Using the Granger and Toda-Yamamoto Causality tests, and analysis of the dynamic effects and the relative importance of the shocks occurring for each variable.
The study concluded that there is a short-term causality and a long-term causality in one-way that goes from agricultural production to GDP in Syria. There is a high ability of the agricultural production to explain the variation in forecast errors in the GDP in the long term, and the analysis of response functions showed that a random shock in agricultural production has a low negative effect on GDP in the short term and a high positive effect in the long term. Historical analysis curves showed that GDP is highly responsive to shocks in agricultural production in the short term.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
-
The authors retain the copyright and grant the right to publish in the magazine for the first time with the transfer of the commercial right to Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences
Under a CC BY- NC-SA 04 license that allows others to share the work with of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal. Authors can use a copy of their articles in their scientific activity, and on their scientific websites, provided that the place of publication is indicted in Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences . The Readers have the right to send, print and subscribe to the initial version of the article, and the title of Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences Publisher
-
journal uses a CC BY-NC-SA license which mean
You are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material
- The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.
-
Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
-
NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.
-
ShareAlike — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same license as the original.
- No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.