The impact of climate change on the water security index in the Syrian Arab Republic

Abstract

The aim of this research is to study the impact of climate changes on one of the most important environmental indicators of sustainable development is the water security index (water safety limit, which is the average per capita share of renewable fresh water), during the period (2021-1990), the researcher measured climate changes in this research through annual data for both temperatures and rainfall, as the most important indicators expressing the climate situation, and water resources and achieving the water safety limit is one of the most important environmental indicators for sustainable development, as water is one of the most affected natural resources by the repercussions of climate change, water is an economic, social and environmental commodity, but it is characterized by The most important of these factors at the present time are the effects of climate change, and because Syria suffers from a deficit in its water balance, it was necessary to study the impact of climate change on the water security index to provide a practical guide that can be adopted in developing a preparedness plan to face the repercussions of climate change. In order to achieve the research objective and measure the effects of climate changes on the water security index, the stability of the study variables was studied, their structural changes were identified, and a model was built to measure the impact of climate changes on the water security index. the research found that there is a significant impact of climate changes represented by temperatures and rainfall on the water security index. the research recommended working on developing a preparedness plan to face the repercussions of climate changes and their effects on the water security index in Syria, and the establishment of an accurate information Bank for data related to climate and water changes in order to allow monitoring the developments of these two variables over the years.