المحددات الرئيسة للادخار القومي في سورية دراسة قياسية للفترة 1980-2012 م

Authors

  • عدنان العربيد
  • ربا كنيفاتي

Abstract

يعد الادخار من أهم مؤشرات النمو الاقتصادي وعاملاً هاماً في تمويل الاستثمار المحلي وصولاً إلى رفع معدل النمو الاقتصادي.يهدف البحث انطلاقاً من ذلك إلى البحث عن المتغيرات التي تؤثر في سلوك الادخار القومي في سورية، حيث يقوم البحث أولاً باختيار المتغيرات و من ثم اختبار سكون السلاسل الزمنية الخاصة بالمتغيرات المختارة ومدى معنويتها، وأخيراً استخدام التكامل المشترك و نموذج تصحيح الخطأ.يخلص البحث إلى وجود أثر إيجابي لكل من معدل التضخم و معدل النمو الاقتصادي الحقيقي في الادخار القومي و تأثير سلبي للدخل القومي المتاح في الادخار القومي، كما أن معدل تصحيح الخطأ معنوي و نسبتة 100% ، مما يشير إلى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الأجل بين الادخار القومي والمتغيرات المستقلة موضوع البحث.

Saving is an important indicator of economic development as it is an element which finances domestic investment to achieve economic growth. The purpose of this research is to determine the variables that affect Syria’s national savings, by testing the expected variables, applying the unit root test on the time series of the variables, then using the Johansen cointegration test and an error correction model. The conclusion is that inflation and real economic growth positively affect national saving whereas national disposable income has a negative effect. The speed of adjustment is significant and 100% which indicates that there is cointegration between the variables of the study and national savings.



Downloads

Published

2014-03-16

How to Cite

1.
العربيد ع, كنيفاتي ر. المحددات الرئيسة للادخار القومي في سورية دراسة قياسية للفترة 1980-2012 م. Tuj-econ [Internet]. 2014Mar.16 [cited 2024Nov.25];36(2). Available from: https://journal.tishreen.edu.sy/index.php/econlaw/article/view/879

Issue

Vol. 36 No. 2 (2014): العلوم الاقتصادية والقانونية

Section

Articles

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

  • The authors retain the copyright and grant the right to publish in the magazine for the first time with the transfer of the commercial right to Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences

     Under a CC BY- NC-SA 04 license that allows others to share the work with of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal. Authors can use a copy of their articles in their scientific activity, and on their scientific websites, provided that the place of publication is indicted in  Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences   .  The Readers have the right to send, print and subscribe to the initial version of the article, and the title of Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences Publisher

  • journal uses a CC BY-NC-SA license which mean

    You are free to:

    • Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material
    •  
    • The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.

  • Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.

  • NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.

  • ShareAlike — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same license as the original.

  • No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.

Most read articles by the same author(s)