Predicting the number of Tishreen University graduates using exponential smoothing during the period (1979-2020)

Authors

  • riham shaaban Tishreen University
  • Ramia Aljbili Tishreen University

Abstract

Predicting the number of Tishreen University graduates plays an important role in proper planning for graduates, as the current study aimed to predict the number of Tishreen University graduates using the time series of the number of graduates to achieve the desired goal. Exponential smoothing was used to predict the number of Tishreen University graduates, because of its high ability to process the time series. The descriptive statistical approach was relied upon in addition to the inductive analytical approach in order to describe the study data As well as testing its hypotheses, the study concluded that the double exponential smoothing model is more efficient in forecasting because it has the lowest value for the forecast accuracy criteria, RMSE, MAE. Therefore, it was relied upon in forecasting the number of Tishreen University graduates during the next five years, because of the importance of this topic in order to know the nature of The relationship between the competencies of Tishreen University graduates and the needs of the labor market.

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Published

2024-07-01

How to Cite

شعبان ر., & راميا الجبيلي. (2024). Predicting the number of Tishreen University graduates using exponential smoothing during the period (1979-2020). Tishreen University Journal- Economic and Legal Sciences Series, 46(2), 387–402. Retrieved from https://journal.tishreen.edu.sy/index.php/econlaw/article/view/16957

Issue

Vol. 46 No. 2 (2024): Tishreen University Journal of Research and Scientific Studies - Economic and Legal Sciences

Section

Master student researches

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